CFR Cluj vs Universitatea Cluj Prediction & Preview
Liga I (Romania) · Aug 08, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGA I (ROMANIA)
CFR Cluj vs Universitatea Cluj
Model pick: CFR Cluj (40%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.59 – 0.99
Total goals: 2.6
Over 2.5: 49%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| CFR Cluj | Universitatea Cluj |
|---|
| League position | #10 (3 pts) | #12 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 5.0 / 0.0 | 0.0 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.2 / 1.2 | 1.0 / 1.6 |
*CFR Cluj shown at home, Universitatea Cluj shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
CFR Cluj — last 5
LDWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 51% of the time; 42% of home games go over 2.5.
Universitatea Cluj — last 5
LWDLL
On the road: clean sheet 33% of the time; 40% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | CFR Cluj (home) | Universitatea Cluj (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-0 in 1 (5.0 / 0.0 goals per game) | 0-0-1 in 1 (0.0 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 51% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 42% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% | 40% |
| Top scorer | Jovo Lukic (18) | Jovo Lukic (18) |
Liga I (Romania) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.39
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 43%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Liga I (Romania) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.59 vs 0.99):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (12%) |
| Double chance — CFR Cluj or draw (1X) | 76% |
| Double chance — Universitatea Cluj or draw (X2) | 49% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 73% / 27% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 26% / 74% |
| CFR Cluj clean sheet | 37% |
| Universitatea Cluj clean sheet | 20% |
🎯 Our Verdict
CFR Cluj is the model's most likely outcome at
40%. CFR Cluj are backed at home, where they average 1.7 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (51% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ CFR Cluj vs Universitatea Cluj — FAQ
Who will win CFR Cluj vs Universitatea Cluj?
Our statistical model makes CFR Cluj the most likely result at 40%. Full probabilities: CFR Cluj 40%, draw 29%, Universitatea Cluj 31%.
Will both teams score in CFR Cluj vs Universitatea Cluj?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in CFR Cluj vs Universitatea Cluj?
Expected goals are 1.59 for CFR Cluj and 0.99 for Universitatea Cluj — about 2.6 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in CFR Cluj vs Universitatea Cluj?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (12%). Double chance for CFR Cluj or draw is 76%.