Chacarita Juniors vs Club A. Guemes Prediction & Preview
Argentino B (Argentina) · Aug 19, 2026 · kickoff 18:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
ARGENTINO B (ARGENTINA)
Chacarita Juniors vs Club A. Guemes
Model pick: Chacarita Juniors (82%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.71 – 0.34
Total goals: 3.0
Over 2.5: 56%
Both teams score: 41%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Chacarita Juniors | Club A. Guemes |
|---|
| League position | #15 (26 pts) | #18 (19 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.1 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 2.2 |
| Win rate this season* | 55% | 9% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 1.0 | 0.4 / 2.4 |
*Chacarita Juniors shown at home, Club A. Guemes shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Chacarita Juniors — last 5
DDLWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 21% of the time; 43% of home games go over 2.5.
Club A. Guemes — last 5
LLLLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Chacarita Juniors (home) | Club A. Guemes (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 6-2-3 in 11 (1.1 / 0.7 goals per game) | 1-2-8 in 11 (0.8 / 2.2 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 21% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 67% |
Argentino B (Argentina) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.15
Home wins: 51%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 21%
Over 2.5: 35%
BTTS: 47%
Use these Argentino B (Argentina) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.71 vs 0.34):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (17%) |
| Double chance — Chacarita Juniors or draw (1X) | 97% |
| Double chance — Club A. Guemes or draw (X2) | 13% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 90% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 81% / 19% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 36% / 64% |
| Chacarita Juniors clean sheet | 71% |
| Club A. Guemes clean sheet | 7% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Chacarita Juniors is the model's most likely outcome at
82%. Chacarita Juniors are backed at home, where they average 1.1 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.0, this shapes as an open game (56% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Chacarita Juniors vs Club A. Guemes — FAQ
Who will win Chacarita Juniors vs Club A. Guemes?
Our statistical model makes Chacarita Juniors the most likely result at 82%. Full probabilities: Chacarita Juniors 82%, draw 13%, Club A. Guemes 5%.
Will both teams score in Chacarita Juniors vs Club A. Guemes?
The model gives a 41% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Chacarita Juniors vs Club A. Guemes?
Expected goals are 2.71 for Chacarita Juniors and 0.34 for Club A. Guemes — about 3.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Chacarita Juniors vs Club A. Guemes?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (17%). Double chance for Chacarita Juniors or draw is 97%.