Chadormalu SC vs Sepahan Prediction & Preview
Premier League (Iran) · Aug 14, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PREMIER LEAGUE (IRAN)
Chadormalu SC vs Sepahan
Model pick: Sepahan (42%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.82 – 1.16
Total goals: 2.0
Over 2.5: 40%
Both teams score: 47%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Chadormalu SC | Sepahan |
|---|
| League position | #18 (0 pts) | #1 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 0.6 | 1.0 / 0.6 |
*Chadormalu SC shown at home, Sepahan shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Chadormalu SC — last 5
LLWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 54% of the time; 27% of home games go over 2.5.
Sepahan — last 5
DLWWD
On the road: clean sheet 38% of the time; 35% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Chadormalu SC (home) | Sepahan (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 54% | 38% |
| Both teams scored | 38% | 51% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 27% | 35% |
| Top scorer | – | Milad Zakipour (1) |
Premier League (Iran) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.01
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 35%
Away wins: 27%
Over 2.5: 33%
BTTS: 42%
Use these Premier League (Iran) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.82 vs 1.16):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (16%) |
| Double chance — Chadormalu SC or draw (1X) | 56% |
| Double chance — Sepahan or draw (X2) | 74% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 70% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 59% / 41% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 14% / 86% |
| Chadormalu SC clean sheet | 31% |
| Sepahan clean sheet | 44% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Sepahan is the model's most likely outcome at
42%. Despite playing away, Sepahan edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (60% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Chadormalu SC vs Sepahan — FAQ
Who will win Chadormalu SC vs Sepahan?
Our statistical model makes Sepahan the most likely result at 42%. Full probabilities: Chadormalu SC 27%, draw 31%, Sepahan 42%.
Will both teams score in Chadormalu SC vs Sepahan?
The model gives a 47% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Chadormalu SC vs Sepahan?
Expected goals are 0.82 for Chadormalu SC and 1.16 for Sepahan — about 2.0 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Chadormalu SC vs Sepahan?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (16%). Double chance for Chadormalu SC or draw is 56%.