Chadormalu SC vs Shams Azar Qazvin Prediction & Preview
Premier League (Iran) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PREMIER LEAGUE (IRAN)
Chadormalu SC vs Shams Azar Qazvin
Model pick: Chadormalu SC (43%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.14 – 0.74
Total goals: 1.9
Over 2.5: 38%
Both teams score: 45%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Chadormalu SC | Shams Azar Qazvin |
|---|
| League position | #18 (1 pts) | #10 (4 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.0 / 2.0 | 1.5 / 0.5 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 50% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.4 / 1.4 | 0.8 / 1.4 |
*Chadormalu SC shown at home, Shams Azar Qazvin shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Chadormalu SC — last 5
WLDLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 25% of home games go over 2.5.
Shams Azar Qazvin — last 5
LLDLW
On the road: clean sheet 40% of the time; 26% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Chadormalu SC (home) | Shams Azar Qazvin (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-0-2 in 2 (0.0 / 2.0 goals per game) | 1-1-0 in 2 (1.5 / 0.5 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 36% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 25% | 26% |
Premier League (Iran) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.01
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 35%
Away wins: 27%
Over 2.5: 33%
BTTS: 41%
Use these Premier League (Iran) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.14 vs 0.74):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (17%) |
| Double chance — Chadormalu SC or draw (1X) | 76% |
| Double chance — Shams Azar Qazvin or draw (X2) | 55% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 69% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 56% / 44% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 12% / 88% |
| Chadormalu SC clean sheet | 48% |
| Shams Azar Qazvin clean sheet | 32% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Chadormalu SC is the model's most likely outcome at
43%. Chadormalu SC are backed at home, where they average 1.1 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (62% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Chadormalu SC vs Shams Azar Qazvin — FAQ
Who will win Chadormalu SC vs Shams Azar Qazvin?
Our statistical model makes Chadormalu SC the most likely result at 43%. Full probabilities: Chadormalu SC 43%, draw 32%, Shams Azar Qazvin 25%.
Will both teams score in Chadormalu SC vs Shams Azar Qazvin?
The model gives a 45% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Chadormalu SC vs Shams Azar Qazvin?
Expected goals are 1.14 for Chadormalu SC and 0.74 for Shams Azar Qazvin — about 1.9 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Chadormalu SC vs Shams Azar Qazvin?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (17%). Double chance for Chadormalu SC or draw is 76%.