Cham vs Gebenbach Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 14, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Cham vs Gebenbach
Model pick: Gebenbach (59%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.11 – 1.09
Total goals: 1.2
Over 2.5: 25%
Both teams score: 24%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Cham | Gebenbach |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 0.33 | 2.0 / 0.5 |
*Cham shown at home, Gebenbach shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Cham — last 5
WWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Gebenbach — last 5
WWWW
On the road: clean sheet 67% of the time; 33% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Cham (home) | Gebenbach (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 33% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.05
Home wins: 35%
Draws: 29%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 58%
BTTS: 54%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.11 vs 1.09):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (33%) |
| Double chance — Cham or draw (1X) | 38% |
| Double chance — Gebenbach or draw (X2) | 96% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 66% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 34% / 66% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 3% / 97% |
| Cham clean sheet | 34% |
| Gebenbach clean sheet | 90% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Gebenbach is the model's most likely outcome at
59%. Despite playing away, Gebenbach edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (75% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Cham vs Gebenbach — FAQ
Who will win Cham vs Gebenbach?
Our statistical model makes Gebenbach the most likely result at 59%. Full probabilities: Cham 6%, draw 35%, Gebenbach 59%.
Will both teams score in Cham vs Gebenbach?
The model gives a 24% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Cham vs Gebenbach?
Expected goals are 0.11 for Cham and 1.09 for Gebenbach — about 1.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Cham vs Gebenbach?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (33%). Double chance for Cham or draw is 38%.