Charleston vs Hartford Athletic Prediction & Preview
USL 1 (USA) · Sep 02, 2026 · kickoff 23:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
USL 1 (USA)
Charleston vs Hartford Athletic
Model pick: Charleston (69%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.2 – 0.61
Total goals: 2.8
Over 2.5: 52%
Both teams score: 48%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Charleston | Hartford Athletic |
|---|
| League position | #2 (36 pts) | #8 (24 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 3.2 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Win rate this season* | 80% | 27% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.6 / 1.0 | 1.4 / 1.2 |
*Charleston shown at home, Hartford Athletic shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Charleston — last 5
LWWLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 75% of home games go over 2.5.
Hartford Athletic — last 5
DLDWW
On the road: clean sheet 17% of the time; 17% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Charleston (home) | Hartford Athletic (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 8-2-0 in 10 (3.2 / 0.7 goals per game) | 3-4-4 in 11 (0.6 / 0.7 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 17% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 17% |
USL 1 (USA) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.53
Home wins: 49%
Draws: 21%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 45%
BTTS: 48%
Use these USL 1 (USA) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.2 vs 0.61):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (15%) |
| Double chance — Charleston or draw (1X) | 91% |
| Double chance — Hartford Athletic or draw (X2) | 26% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 83% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 77% / 23% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 31% / 69% |
| Charleston clean sheet | 54% |
| Hartford Athletic clean sheet | 11% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Charleston is the model's most likely outcome at
69%. Charleston are backed at home, where they average 3.2 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (48% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
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❓ Charleston vs Hartford Athletic — FAQ
Who will win Charleston vs Hartford Athletic?
Our statistical model makes Charleston the most likely result at 69%. Full probabilities: Charleston 69%, draw 20%, Hartford Athletic 11%.
Will both teams score in Charleston vs Hartford Athletic?
The model gives a 48% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Charleston vs Hartford Athletic?
Expected goals are 2.2 for Charleston and 0.61 for Hartford Athletic — about 2.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Charleston vs Hartford Athletic?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (15%). Double chance for Charleston or draw is 91%.