Charlton Athletic vs Queens Park Rangers Prediction & Preview
Championship (England) · Sep 09, 2026 · kickoff 19:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
CHAMPIONSHIP (ENGLAND)
Charlton Athletic vs Queens Park Rangers
Model pick: Charlton Athletic (38%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.22 – 1.07
Total goals: 2.3
Over 2.5: 45%
Both teams score: 50%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Charlton Athletic | Queens Park Rangers |
|---|
| League position | #3 (10 pts) | #2 (10 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.5 / 0.5 | 2.5 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 100% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.6 | 1.6 / 1.0 |
*Charlton Athletic shown at home, Queens Park Rangers shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Charlton Athletic — last 5
WWLWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 31% of the time; 49% of home games go over 2.5.
Queens Park Rangers — last 5
LWDWW
On the road: clean sheet 21% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Charlton Athletic (home) | Queens Park Rangers (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 2-0-0 in 2 (1.5 / 0.5 goals per game) | 2-0-0 in 2 (2.5 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 31% | 21% |
| Both teams scored | 54% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 50% |
Championship (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.54
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 48%
BTTS: 51%
Use these Championship (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.22 vs 1.07):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Charlton Athletic or draw (1X) | 68% |
| Double chance — Queens Park Rangers or draw (X2) | 60% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 72% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 67% / 33% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 20% / 80% |
| Charlton Athletic clean sheet | 34% |
| Queens Park Rangers clean sheet | 30% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Charlton Athletic is the model's most likely outcome at
38%. Charlton Athletic are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (55% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Charlton Athletic vs Queens Park Rangers — FAQ
Who will win Charlton Athletic vs Queens Park Rangers?
Our statistical model makes Charlton Athletic the most likely result at 38%. Full probabilities: Charlton Athletic 38%, draw 29%, Queens Park Rangers 32%.
Will both teams score in Charlton Athletic vs Queens Park Rangers?
The model gives a 50% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Charlton Athletic vs Queens Park Rangers?
Expected goals are 1.22 for Charlton Athletic and 1.07 for Queens Park Rangers — about 2.3 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Charlton Athletic vs Queens Park Rangers?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Charlton Athletic or draw is 68%.