Chatham vs Three Bridges Prediction & Preview
Non League Premier (England) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NON LEAGUE PREMIER (ENGLAND)
Chatham vs Three Bridges
Model pick: Chatham (47%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 13.14 – 0.12
Total goals: 13.3
Over 2.5: 35%
Both teams score: 40%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Chatham | Three Bridges |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 2.2 | 2.0 / 3.0 |
*Chatham shown at home, Three Bridges shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Chatham — last 5
LLLLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 17% of the time; 83% of home games go over 2.5.
Three Bridges — last 5
LL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Chatham (home) | Three Bridges (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 17% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 83% | 100% |
Non League Premier (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.73
Home wins: 49%
Draws: 19%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 49%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Non League Premier (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (13.14 vs 0.12):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 8-0 (41%) |
| Double chance — Chatham or draw (1X) | 100% |
| Double chance — Three Bridges or draw (X2) | 0% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 100% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 99% / 1% |
| Chatham clean sheet | 89% |
| Three Bridges clean sheet | 0% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Chatham is the model's most likely outcome at
47%. Chatham are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (65% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Chatham vs Three Bridges — FAQ
Who will win Chatham vs Three Bridges?
Our statistical model makes Chatham the most likely result at 47%. Full probabilities: Chatham 47%, draw 15%, Three Bridges 38%.
Will both teams score in Chatham vs Three Bridges?
The model gives a 40% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Chatham vs Three Bridges?
Expected goals are 13.14 for Chatham and 0.12 for Three Bridges — about 13.3 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Chatham vs Three Bridges?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 8-0 (41%). Double chance for Chatham or draw is 100%.