Chatham vs Wingate & Finchley Prediction & Preview
Non League Premier (England) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NON LEAGUE PREMIER (ENGLAND)
Chatham vs Wingate & Finchley
Model pick: Chatham (56%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.59 – 0.65
Total goals: 2.2
Over 2.5: 44%
Both teams score: 47%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Chatham | Wingate & Finchley |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 1.6 | 0.75 / 1.75 |
*Chatham shown at home, Wingate & Finchley shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Chatham — last 5
LLWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 14% of the time; 86% of home games go over 2.5.
Wingate & Finchley — last 5
LLDW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Chatham (home) | Wingate & Finchley (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 14% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 57% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 86% | 67% |
Non League Premier (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.88
Home wins: 47%
Draws: 20%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Non League Premier (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.59 vs 0.65):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (17%) |
| Double chance — Chatham or draw (1X) | 85% |
| Double chance — Wingate & Finchley or draw (X2) | 40% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 66% / 34% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 19% / 81% |
| Chatham clean sheet | 52% |
| Wingate & Finchley clean sheet | 20% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Chatham is the model's most likely outcome at
56%. Chatham are backed at home, where they average 1.7 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (56% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Chatham vs Wingate & Finchley — FAQ
Who will win Chatham vs Wingate & Finchley?
Our statistical model makes Chatham the most likely result at 56%. Full probabilities: Chatham 56%, draw 27%, Wingate & Finchley 17%.
Will both teams score in Chatham vs Wingate & Finchley?
The model gives a 47% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Chatham vs Wingate & Finchley?
Expected goals are 1.59 for Chatham and 0.65 for Wingate & Finchley — about 2.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Chatham vs Wingate & Finchley?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (17%). Double chance for Chatham or draw is 85%.