Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Boise Prediction & Preview
USL League One (USA) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 23:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
USL LEAGUE ONE (USA)
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Boise
Model pick: Chattanooga Red Wolves (46%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
46%
Chattanooga Red Wolves
Expected goals: 2.3 – 1.87
Total goals: 4.2
Over 2.5: 68%
Both teams score: 65%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Chattanooga Red Wolves | Boise |
|---|
| League position | #7 (32 pts) | #6 (35 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.0 / 1.1 | 1.5 / 1.9 |
| Win rate this season* | 60% | 30% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 3.0 | 1.6 / 1.2 |
*Chattanooga Red Wolves shown at home, Boise shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Chattanooga Red Wolves — last 5
LLWLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 60% of the time; 40% of home games go over 2.5.
Boise — last 5
LDWWD
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 75% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Chattanooga Red Wolves (home) | Boise (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 6-1-3 in 10 (2.0 / 1.1 goals per game) | 3-3-4 in 10 (1.5 / 1.9 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 60% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 75% |
USL League One (USA) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.94
Home wins: 50%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 26%
Over 2.5: 61%
BTTS: 61%
Use these USL League One (USA) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.3 vs 1.87):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-1 (8%) |
| Double chance — Chattanooga Red Wolves or draw (1X) | 68% |
| Double chance — Boise or draw (X2) | 52% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 80% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 92% / 8% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 60% / 40% |
| Chattanooga Red Wolves clean sheet | 15% |
| Boise clean sheet | 10% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Chattanooga Red Wolves is the model's most likely outcome at
46%. Chattanooga Red Wolves are backed at home, where they average 1.6 goals a game. With expected goals of 4.2, this shapes as an open game (68% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Boise — FAQ
Who will win Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Boise?
Our statistical model makes Chattanooga Red Wolves the most likely result at 46%. Full probabilities: Chattanooga Red Wolves 46%, draw 22%, Boise 32%.
Will both teams score in Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Boise?
The model gives a 65% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Boise?
Expected goals are 2.3 for Chattanooga Red Wolves and 1.87 for Boise — about 4.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Boise?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-1 (8%). Double chance for Chattanooga Red Wolves or draw is 68%.