Chelmianka Chelm vs KS Wieczysta Krakow II Prediction & Preview
III Liga (Poland) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
III LIGA (POLAND)
Chelmianka Chelm vs KS Wieczysta Krakow II
Model pick: Chelmianka Chelm (80%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.43 – 0.3
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 52%
Both teams score: 39%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Chelmianka Chelm | KS Wieczysta Krakow II |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 0.4 | 1.6 / 1.6 |
*Chelmianka Chelm shown at home, KS Wieczysta Krakow II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Chelmianka Chelm — last 5
WWWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
KS Wieczysta Krakow II — last 5
LLWDW
On the road: clean sheet 33% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Chelmianka Chelm (home) | KS Wieczysta Krakow II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 100% |
III Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.24
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 63%
Use these III Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.43 vs 0.3):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (19%) |
| Double chance — Chelmianka Chelm or draw (1X) | 97% |
| Double chance — KS Wieczysta Krakow II or draw (X2) | 15% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 88% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 76% / 24% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 29% / 71% |
| Chelmianka Chelm clean sheet | 74% |
| KS Wieczysta Krakow II clean sheet | 9% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Chelmianka Chelm is the model's most likely outcome at
80%. Chelmianka Chelm are backed at home, where they average 2.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (48% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
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❓ Chelmianka Chelm vs KS Wieczysta Krakow II — FAQ
Who will win Chelmianka Chelm vs KS Wieczysta Krakow II?
Our statistical model makes Chelmianka Chelm the most likely result at 80%. Full probabilities: Chelmianka Chelm 80%, draw 16%, KS Wieczysta Krakow II 5%.
Will both teams score in Chelmianka Chelm vs KS Wieczysta Krakow II?
The model gives a 39% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Chelmianka Chelm vs KS Wieczysta Krakow II?
Expected goals are 2.43 for Chelmianka Chelm and 0.3 for KS Wieczysta Krakow II — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Chelmianka Chelm vs KS Wieczysta Krakow II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (19%). Double chance for Chelmianka Chelm or draw is 97%.