Chemie Leipzig vs Carl Zeiss Jena Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Germany) · Aug 14, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (GERMANY)
Chemie Leipzig vs Carl Zeiss Jena
Model pick: Carl Zeiss Jena (59%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.01 – 0.95
Total goals: 1.0
Over 2.5: 20%
Both teams score: 10%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Chemie Leipzig | Carl Zeiss Jena |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.2 / 1.4 | 1.8 / 0.6 |
*Chemie Leipzig shown at home, Carl Zeiss Jena shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Chemie Leipzig — last 5
LLLLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Carl Zeiss Jena — last 5
WDLWW
On the road: clean sheet 5% of the time; 62% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Chemie Leipzig (home) | Carl Zeiss Jena (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 5% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 62% |
Regionalliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.36
Home wins: 37%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 65%
BTTS: 63%
Use these Regionalliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.01 vs 0.95):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (38%) |
| Double chance — Chemie Leipzig or draw (1X) | 39% |
| Double chance — Carl Zeiss Jena or draw (X2) | 100% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 61% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 25% / 75% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 2% / 98% |
| Chemie Leipzig clean sheet | 39% |
| Carl Zeiss Jena clean sheet | 99% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Carl Zeiss Jena is the model's most likely outcome at
59%. Despite playing away, Carl Zeiss Jena edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (80% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Chemie Leipzig vs Carl Zeiss Jena — FAQ
Who will win Chemie Leipzig vs Carl Zeiss Jena?
Our statistical model makes Carl Zeiss Jena the most likely result at 59%. Full probabilities: Chemie Leipzig 1%, draw 40%, Carl Zeiss Jena 59%.
Will both teams score in Chemie Leipzig vs Carl Zeiss Jena?
The model gives a 10% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Chemie Leipzig vs Carl Zeiss Jena?
Expected goals are 0.01 for Chemie Leipzig and 0.95 for Carl Zeiss Jena — about 1.0 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Chemie Leipzig vs Carl Zeiss Jena?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (38%). Double chance for Chemie Leipzig or draw is 39%.