Chemnitzer FC vs Carl Zeiss Jena Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Germany) · Aug 28, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (GERMANY)
Chemnitzer FC vs Carl Zeiss Jena
Model pick: Chemnitzer FC (66%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.75 – 0.42
Total goals: 2.2
Over 2.5: 43%
Both teams score: 41%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Chemnitzer FC | Carl Zeiss Jena |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.6 / 0.4 | 1.6 / 0.8 |
*Chemnitzer FC shown at home, Carl Zeiss Jena shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Chemnitzer FC — last 5
WWWDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 35% of the time; 58% of home games go over 2.5.
Carl Zeiss Jena — last 5
LWWLW
On the road: clean sheet 9% of the time; 59% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Chemnitzer FC (home) | Carl Zeiss Jena (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 35% | 9% |
| Both teams scored | 54% | 68% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 59% |
Regionalliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.24
Home wins: 36%
Draws: 29%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 65%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Regionalliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.75 vs 0.42):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (20%) |
| Double chance — Chemnitzer FC or draw (1X) | 92% |
| Double chance — Carl Zeiss Jena or draw (X2) | 30% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 79% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 64% / 36% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 17% / 83% |
| Chemnitzer FC clean sheet | 66% |
| Carl Zeiss Jena clean sheet | 17% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Chemnitzer FC is the model's most likely outcome at
66%. Chemnitzer FC are backed at home, where they average 1.8 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (57% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Chemnitzer FC vs Carl Zeiss Jena — FAQ
Who will win Chemnitzer FC vs Carl Zeiss Jena?
Our statistical model makes Chemnitzer FC the most likely result at 66%. Full probabilities: Chemnitzer FC 66%, draw 24%, Carl Zeiss Jena 11%.
Will both teams score in Chemnitzer FC vs Carl Zeiss Jena?
The model gives a 41% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Chemnitzer FC vs Carl Zeiss Jena?
Expected goals are 1.75 for Chemnitzer FC and 0.42 for Carl Zeiss Jena — about 2.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Chemnitzer FC vs Carl Zeiss Jena?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (20%). Double chance for Chemnitzer FC or draw is 92%.