Cheonan City vs Suwon Bluewings Prediction & Preview
K League 2 (South Korea) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 10:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
K LEAGUE 2 (SOUTH KOREA)
Cheonan City vs Suwon Bluewings
Model pick: Suwon Bluewings (56%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.15 – 2.17
Total goals: 3.3
Over 2.5: 59%
Both teams score: 56%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Cheonan City | Suwon Bluewings |
|---|
| League position | #14 (21 pts) | #1 (41 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.9 / 0.9 | 1.7 / 1.1 |
| Win rate this season* | 20% | 60% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 2.2 | 1.8 / 1.0 |
*Cheonan City shown at home, Suwon Bluewings shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Cheonan City — last 5
LLDLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 28% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Suwon Bluewings — last 5
DWDWD
On the road: clean sheet 21% of the time; 49% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Cheonan City (home) | Suwon Bluewings (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 2-6-2 in 10 (0.9 / 0.9 goals per game) | 6-1-3 in 10 (1.7 / 1.1 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 28% | 21% |
| Both teams scored | 51% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 49% |
K League 2 (South Korea) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.51
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 46%
BTTS: 51%
Use these K League 2 (South Korea) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.15 vs 2.17):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-2 (10%) |
| Double chance — Cheonan City or draw (1X) | 39% |
| Double chance — Suwon Bluewings or draw (X2) | 81% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 80% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 84% / 16% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 42% / 58% |
| Cheonan City clean sheet | 11% |
| Suwon Bluewings clean sheet | 32% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Suwon Bluewings is the model's most likely outcome at
56%. Despite playing away, Suwon Bluewings edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.3, this shapes as an open game (59% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Cheonan City vs Suwon Bluewings — FAQ
Who will win Cheonan City vs Suwon Bluewings?
Our statistical model makes Suwon Bluewings the most likely result at 56%. Full probabilities: Cheonan City 21%, draw 23%, Suwon Bluewings 56%.
Will both teams score in Cheonan City vs Suwon Bluewings?
The model gives a 56% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Cheonan City vs Suwon Bluewings?
Expected goals are 1.15 for Cheonan City and 2.17 for Suwon Bluewings — about 3.3 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Cheonan City vs Suwon Bluewings?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-2 (10%). Double chance for Cheonan City or draw is 39%.