Cheonan City vs Yongin City Prediction & Preview
K League 2 (South Korea) · Aug 01, 2026 · kickoff 10:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
K LEAGUE 2 (SOUTH KOREA)
Cheonan City vs Yongin City
Model pick: Cheonan City (42%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.71 – 1.09
Total goals: 2.8
Over 2.5: 52%
Both teams score: 56%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Cheonan City | Yongin City |
|---|
| League position | #11 (19 pts) | #14 (17 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.8 / 0.8 | 1.1 / 1.4 |
| Win rate this season* | 22% | 29% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 1.8 | 0.6 / 1.8 |
*Cheonan City shown at home, Yongin City shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Cheonan City — last 5
LLWLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 28% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Yongin City — last 5
LDLLD
On the road: clean sheet 12% of the time; 38% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Cheonan City (home) | Yongin City (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 2-5-2 in 9 (0.8 / 0.8 goals per game) | 2-3-2 in 7 (1.1 / 1.4 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 28% | 12% |
| Both teams scored | 51% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 38% |
K League 2 (South Korea) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.51
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 46%
BTTS: 51%
Use these K League 2 (South Korea) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.71 vs 1.09):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Cheonan City or draw (1X) | 76% |
| Double chance — Yongin City or draw (X2) | 48% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 77% / 23% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 31% / 69% |
| Cheonan City clean sheet | 34% |
| Yongin City clean sheet | 18% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Cheonan City is the model's most likely outcome at
42%. Cheonan City are backed at home, where they average 1.2 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (48% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Cheonan City vs Yongin City — FAQ
Who will win Cheonan City vs Yongin City?
Our statistical model makes Cheonan City the most likely result at 42%. Full probabilities: Cheonan City 42%, draw 27%, Yongin City 32%.
Will both teams score in Cheonan City vs Yongin City?
The model gives a 56% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Cheonan City vs Yongin City?
Expected goals are 1.71 for Cheonan City and 1.09 for Yongin City — about 2.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Cheonan City vs Yongin City?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for Cheonan City or draw is 76%.