Cheongju vs Gyeongnam Prediction & Preview
K League 2 (South Korea) · Aug 23, 2026 · kickoff 10:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
K LEAGUE 2 (SOUTH KOREA)
Cheongju vs Gyeongnam
Model pick: Gyeongnam (38%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.96 – 1.26
Total goals: 2.2
Over 2.5: 44%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Cheongju | Gyeongnam |
|---|
| League position | #13 (22 pts) | #9 (26 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.2 / 1.8 | 0.9 / 1.3 |
| Win rate this season* | 18% | 10% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 2.0 | 1.4 / 0.8 |
*Cheongju shown at home, Gyeongnam shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Cheongju — last 5
DLDLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 25% of the time; 48% of home games go over 2.5.
Gyeongnam — last 5
LWDLD
On the road: clean sheet 18% of the time; 54% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Cheongju (home) | Gyeongnam (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 2-5-4 in 11 (1.2 / 1.8 goals per game) | 1-6-3 in 10 (0.9 / 1.3 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 25% | 18% |
| Both teams scored | 46% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 54% |
K League 2 (South Korea) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.51
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 46%
BTTS: 51%
Use these K League 2 (South Korea) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.96 vs 1.26):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (14%) |
| Double chance — Cheongju or draw (1X) | 57% |
| Double chance — Gyeongnam or draw (X2) | 72% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 71% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 65% / 35% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 18% / 82% |
| Cheongju clean sheet | 28% |
| Gyeongnam clean sheet | 38% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Gyeongnam is the model's most likely outcome at
38%. Despite playing away, Gyeongnam edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (56% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Cheongju vs Gyeongnam — FAQ
Who will win Cheongju vs Gyeongnam?
Our statistical model makes Gyeongnam the most likely result at 38%. Full probabilities: Cheongju 34%, draw 28%, Gyeongnam 38%.
Will both teams score in Cheongju vs Gyeongnam?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Cheongju vs Gyeongnam?
Expected goals are 0.96 for Cheongju and 1.26 for Gyeongnam — about 2.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Cheongju vs Gyeongnam?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (14%). Double chance for Cheongju or draw is 57%.