Cheongju vs Suwon Bluewings Prediction & Preview
K League 2 (South Korea) · Aug 01, 2026 · kickoff 10:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
K LEAGUE 2 (SOUTH KOREA)
Cheongju vs Suwon Bluewings
Model pick: Suwon Bluewings (57%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.79 – 1.7
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 48%
Both teams score: 51%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Cheongju | Suwon Bluewings |
|---|
| League position | #12 (18 pts) | #3 (33 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 1.9 | 1.4 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 11% | 62% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.4 | 1.4 / 1.0 |
*Cheongju shown at home, Suwon Bluewings shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Cheongju — last 5
WLDWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 26% of the time; 46% of home games go over 2.5.
Suwon Bluewings — last 5
WLLDW
On the road: clean sheet 21% of the time; 49% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Cheongju (home) | Suwon Bluewings (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-4-4 in 9 (1.0 / 1.9 goals per game) | 5-0-3 in 8 (1.4 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 26% | 21% |
| Both teams scored | 44% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 49% |
K League 2 (South Korea) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.51
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 46%
BTTS: 51%
Use these K League 2 (South Korea) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.79 vs 1.7):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (14%) |
| Double chance — Cheongju or draw (1X) | 41% |
| Double chance — Suwon Bluewings or draw (X2) | 83% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 71% / 29% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 24% / 76% |
| Cheongju clean sheet | 18% |
| Suwon Bluewings clean sheet | 45% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Suwon Bluewings is the model's most likely outcome at
57%. Despite playing away, Suwon Bluewings edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (52% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Cheongju vs Suwon Bluewings — FAQ
Who will win Cheongju vs Suwon Bluewings?
Our statistical model makes Suwon Bluewings the most likely result at 57%. Full probabilities: Cheongju 19%, draw 24%, Suwon Bluewings 57%.
Will both teams score in Cheongju vs Suwon Bluewings?
The model gives a 51% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Cheongju vs Suwon Bluewings?
Expected goals are 0.79 for Cheongju and 1.7 for Suwon Bluewings — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Cheongju vs Suwon Bluewings?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (14%). Double chance for Cheongju or draw is 41%.