Cherepovets vs Kosmos Prediction & Preview
FNL 2 Division B (Russia) · Aug 30, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
FNL 2 DIVISION B (RUSSIA)
Cherepovets vs Kosmos
Model pick: Kosmos (58%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.37 – 1.35
Total goals: 1.7
Over 2.5: 36%
Both teams score: 38%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Cherepovets | Kosmos |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 1.4 | 1.0 / 1.4 |
*Cherepovets shown at home, Kosmos shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Cherepovets — last 5
WLDWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Kosmos — last 5
LLWLW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 75% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Cherepovets (home) | Kosmos (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 75% |
FNL 2 Division B (Russia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.01
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 60%
Use these FNL 2 Division B (Russia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.37 vs 1.35):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (24%) |
| Double chance — Cherepovets or draw (1X) | 38% |
| Double chance — Kosmos or draw (X2) | 90% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 72% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 51% / 49% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 10% / 90% |
| Cherepovets clean sheet | 26% |
| Kosmos clean sheet | 69% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Kosmos is the model's most likely outcome at
58%. Despite playing away, Kosmos edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (64% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Cherepovets vs Kosmos — FAQ
Who will win Cherepovets vs Kosmos?
Our statistical model makes Kosmos the most likely result at 58%. Full probabilities: Cherepovets 12%, draw 30%, Kosmos 58%.
Will both teams score in Cherepovets vs Kosmos?
The model gives a 38% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Cherepovets vs Kosmos?
Expected goals are 0.37 for Cherepovets and 1.35 for Kosmos — about 1.7 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Cherepovets vs Kosmos?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (24%). Double chance for Cherepovets or draw is 38%.