Cherepovets vs Spartak Moscow 2 Prediction & Preview
FNL 2 Division B (Russia) · Aug 09, 2026 · kickoff 11:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
FNL 2 DIVISION B (RUSSIA)
Cherepovets vs Spartak Moscow 2
Model pick: Draw (65%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.26 – 0.12
Total goals: 0.4
Over 2.5: 6%
Both teams score: 17%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Cherepovets | Spartak Moscow 2 |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.67 / 3.0 | 0.0 / 1.0 |
*Cherepovets shown at home, Spartak Moscow 2 shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Cherepovets — last 5
LWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Spartak Moscow 2 — last 5
L
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Cherepovets (home) | Spartak Moscow 2 (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 0% |
FNL 2 Division B (Russia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.2
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 67%
BTTS: 60%
Use these FNL 2 Division B (Russia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.26 vs 0.12):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (68%) |
| Double chance — Cherepovets or draw (1X) | 91% |
| Double chance — Spartak Moscow 2 or draw (X2) | 79% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 29% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 6% / 94% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 0% / 100% |
| Cherepovets clean sheet | 89% |
| Spartak Moscow 2 clean sheet | 77% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
65%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (94% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Cherepovets vs Spartak Moscow 2 — FAQ
Who will win Cherepovets vs Spartak Moscow 2?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 65%. Full probabilities: Cherepovets 23%, draw 65%, Spartak Moscow 2 12%.
Will both teams score in Cherepovets vs Spartak Moscow 2?
The model gives a 17% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Cherepovets vs Spartak Moscow 2?
Expected goals are 0.26 for Cherepovets and 0.12 for Spartak Moscow 2 — about 0.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Cherepovets vs Spartak Moscow 2?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (68%). Double chance for Cherepovets or draw is 91%.