Cherno More II vs Chernolomets Prediction & Preview
V AFG (Bulgaria) · Aug 26, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
V AFG (BULGARIA)
Cherno More II vs Chernolomets
Model pick: Draw (57%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.29 – 0.28
Total goals: 0.6
Over 2.5: 10%
Both teams score: 23%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Cherno More II | Chernolomets |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 2.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 |
*Cherno More II shown at home, Chernolomets shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Cherno More II — last 5
L
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Chernolomets — last 5
D
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Cherno More II (home) | Chernolomets (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
V AFG (Bulgaria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.08
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 60%
Use these V AFG (Bulgaria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.29 vs 0.28):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (57%) |
| Double chance — Cherno More II or draw (1X) | 81% |
| Double chance — Chernolomets or draw (X2) | 80% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 39% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 11% / 89% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 0% / 100% |
| Cherno More II clean sheet | 76% |
| Chernolomets clean sheet | 75% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
57%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (90% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Cherno More II vs Chernolomets — FAQ
Who will win Cherno More II vs Chernolomets?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 57%. Full probabilities: Cherno More II 22%, draw 57%, Chernolomets 21%.
Will both teams score in Cherno More II vs Chernolomets?
The model gives a 23% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Cherno More II vs Chernolomets?
Expected goals are 0.29 for Cherno More II and 0.28 for Chernolomets — about 0.6 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Cherno More II vs Chernolomets?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (57%). Double chance for Cherno More II or draw is 81%.