Chernomorets Balchik vs Cherno More II Prediction & Preview
V AFG (Bulgaria) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 14:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
V AFG (BULGARIA)
Chernomorets Balchik vs Cherno More II
Model pick: Draw (56%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.37 – 0.22
Total goals: 0.6
Over 2.5: 11%
Both teams score: 23%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Chernomorets Balchik | Cherno More II |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.0 / 0.0 | 1.0 / 2.0 |
*Chernomorets Balchik shown at home, Cherno More II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Chernomorets Balchik — last 5
D
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Cherno More II — last 5
L
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Chernomorets Balchik (home) | Cherno More II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 100% |
V AFG (Bulgaria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.08
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 60%
Use these V AFG (Bulgaria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.37 vs 0.22):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (55%) |
| Double chance — Chernomorets Balchik or draw (1X) | 86% |
| Double chance — Cherno More II or draw (X2) | 74% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 40% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 12% / 88% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 0% / 100% |
| Chernomorets Balchik clean sheet | 80% |
| Cherno More II clean sheet | 69% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
56%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (89% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Chernomorets Balchik vs Cherno More II — FAQ
Who will win Chernomorets Balchik vs Cherno More II?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 56%. Full probabilities: Chernomorets Balchik 27%, draw 56%, Cherno More II 16%.
Will both teams score in Chernomorets Balchik vs Cherno More II?
The model gives a 23% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Chernomorets Balchik vs Cherno More II?
Expected goals are 0.37 for Chernomorets Balchik and 0.22 for Cherno More II — about 0.6 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Chernomorets Balchik vs Cherno More II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (55%). Double chance for Chernomorets Balchik or draw is 86%.