Chertanovo M. vs Cherepovets Prediction & Preview
FNL 2 Division B (Russia) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
FNL 2 DIVISION B (RUSSIA)
Chertanovo M. vs Cherepovets
Model pick: Chertanovo M. (83%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.84 – 0.36
Total goals: 3.2
Over 2.5: 58%
Both teams score: 41%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Chertanovo M. | Cherepovets |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.6 / 1.0 | 0.8 / 1.4 |
*Chertanovo M. shown at home, Cherepovets shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Chertanovo M. — last 5
LWWWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
Cherepovets — last 5
DWDLL
On the road: clean sheet 40% of the time; 60% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Chertanovo M. (home) | Cherepovets (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 60% |
FNL 2 Division B (Russia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.02
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 59%
Use these FNL 2 Division B (Russia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.84 vs 0.36):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (16%) |
| Double chance — Chertanovo M. or draw (1X) | 97% |
| Double chance — Cherepovets or draw (X2) | 12% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 91% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 83% / 17% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 40% / 60% |
| Chertanovo M. clean sheet | 70% |
| Cherepovets clean sheet | 6% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Chertanovo M. is the model's most likely outcome at
83%. Chertanovo M. are backed at home, where they average 2.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.2, this shapes as an open game (58% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Chertanovo M. vs Cherepovets — FAQ
Who will win Chertanovo M. vs Cherepovets?
Our statistical model makes Chertanovo M. the most likely result at 83%. Full probabilities: Chertanovo M. 83%, draw 12%, Cherepovets 4%.
Will both teams score in Chertanovo M. vs Cherepovets?
The model gives a 41% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Chertanovo M. vs Cherepovets?
Expected goals are 2.84 for Chertanovo M. and 0.36 for Cherepovets — about 3.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Chertanovo M. vs Cherepovets?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (16%). Double chance for Chertanovo M. or draw is 97%.