Chertsey vs Frome Prediction & Preview
Non League Premier (England) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NON LEAGUE PREMIER (ENGLAND)
Chertsey vs Frome
Model pick: Chertsey (37%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.52 – 1.51
Total goals: 3.0
Over 2.5: 55%
Both teams score: 57%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Chertsey | Frome |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.8 / 1.2 | 1.4 / 0.6 |
*Chertsey shown at home, Frome shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Chertsey — last 5
WWWDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 17% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Frome — last 5
DWWLL
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Chertsey (home) | Frome (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 17% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 83% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
Non League Premier (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.88
Home wins: 47%
Draws: 20%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Non League Premier (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.52 vs 1.51):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Chertsey or draw (1X) | 62% |
| Double chance — Frome or draw (X2) | 62% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 81% / 19% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 36% / 64% |
| Chertsey clean sheet | 22% |
| Frome clean sheet | 22% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Chertsey is the model's most likely outcome at
37%. Chertsey are backed at home, where they average 2.3 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.0, this shapes as an open game (55% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Chertsey vs Frome — FAQ
Who will win Chertsey vs Frome?
Our statistical model makes Chertsey the most likely result at 37%. Full probabilities: Chertsey 37%, draw 25%, Frome 37%.
Will both teams score in Chertsey vs Frome?
The model gives a 57% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Chertsey vs Frome?
Expected goals are 1.52 for Chertsey and 1.51 for Frome — about 3.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Chertsey vs Frome?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for Chertsey or draw is 62%.