Chesham United vs Billericay Town Prediction & Preview
National League N/S (England) · Sep 08, 2026 · kickoff 18:45 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NATIONAL LEAGUE N/S (ENGLAND)
Chesham United vs Billericay Town
Model pick: Chesham United (49%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.75 – 1.15
Total goals: 2.9
Over 2.5: 54%
Both teams score: 55%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Chesham United | Billericay Town |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 1.2 | 1.6 / 1.2 |
*Chesham United shown at home, Billericay Town shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Chesham United — last 5
LLWWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 26% of the time; 62% of home games go over 2.5.
Billericay Town — last 5
WLWDL
On the road: clean sheet 16% of the time; 63% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Chesham United (home) | Billericay Town (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 26% | 16% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 61% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 63% |
National League N/S (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.79
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 53%
BTTS: 54%
Use these National League N/S (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.75 vs 1.15):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Chesham United or draw (1X) | 75% |
| Double chance — Billericay Town or draw (X2) | 49% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 79% / 21% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 33% / 67% |
| Chesham United clean sheet | 32% |
| Billericay Town clean sheet | 17% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Chesham United is the model's most likely outcome at
49%. Chesham United are backed at home, where they average 1.6 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (46% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Chesham United vs Billericay Town — FAQ
Who will win Chesham United vs Billericay Town?
Our statistical model makes Chesham United the most likely result at 49%. Full probabilities: Chesham United 49%, draw 25%, Billericay Town 26%.
Will both teams score in Chesham United vs Billericay Town?
The model gives a 55% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Chesham United vs Billericay Town?
Expected goals are 1.75 for Chesham United and 1.15 for Billericay Town — about 2.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Chesham United vs Billericay Town?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for Chesham United or draw is 75%.