Chesham United vs Walton & Hersham Prediction & Preview
National League N/S (England) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NATIONAL LEAGUE N/S (ENGLAND)
Chesham United vs Walton & Hersham
Model pick: Chesham United (85%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 3.33 – 0.52
Total goals: 3.9
Over 2.5: 65%
Both teams score: 47%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Chesham United | Walton & Hersham |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.2 / 2.4 | 0.8 / 2.4 |
*Chesham United shown at home, Walton & Hersham shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Chesham United — last 5
DWLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 24% of the time; 62% of home games go over 2.5.
Walton & Hersham — last 5
LDWLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Chesham United (home) | Walton & Hersham (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 24% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 67% |
National League N/S (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.79
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 53%
BTTS: 54%
Use these National League N/S (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (3.33 vs 0.52):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 3-0 (13%) |
| Double chance — Chesham United or draw (1X) | 97% |
| Double chance — Walton & Hersham or draw (X2) | 11% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 92% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 90% / 10% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 53% / 47% |
| Chesham United clean sheet | 59% |
| Walton & Hersham clean sheet | 4% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Chesham United is the model's most likely outcome at
85%. Chesham United are backed at home, where they average 1.6 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.9, this shapes as an open game (65% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Chesham United vs Walton & Hersham — FAQ
Who will win Chesham United vs Walton & Hersham?
Our statistical model makes Chesham United the most likely result at 85%. Full probabilities: Chesham United 85%, draw 11%, Walton & Hersham 5%.
Will both teams score in Chesham United vs Walton & Hersham?
The model gives a 47% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Chesham United vs Walton & Hersham?
Expected goals are 3.33 for Chesham United and 0.52 for Walton & Hersham — about 3.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Chesham United vs Walton & Hersham?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 3-0 (13%). Double chance for Chesham United or draw is 97%.