Cheshunt vs Burgess Hill Prediction & Preview
Non League Premier (England) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NON LEAGUE PREMIER (ENGLAND)
Cheshunt vs Burgess Hill
Model pick: Draw (76%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.02 – 0.2
Total goals: 0.2
Over 2.5: 3%
Both teams score: 7%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Cheshunt | Burgess Hill |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.4 / 0.8 | 1.0 / 1.2 |
*Cheshunt shown at home, Burgess Hill shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Cheshunt — last 5
LWDDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 25% of the time; 54% of home games go over 2.5.
Burgess Hill — last 5
LLLWD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Cheshunt (home) | Burgess Hill (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 25% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 54% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 0% |
Non League Premier (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.69
Home wins: 47%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 53%
Use these Non League Premier (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.02 vs 0.2):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (80%) |
| Double chance — Cheshunt or draw (1X) | 82% |
| Double chance — Burgess Hill or draw (X2) | 98% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 19% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 2% / 98% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 0% / 100% |
| Cheshunt clean sheet | 82% |
| Burgess Hill clean sheet | 98% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
76%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (97% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Cheshunt vs Burgess Hill — FAQ
Who will win Cheshunt vs Burgess Hill?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 76%. Full probabilities: Cheshunt 3%, draw 76%, Burgess Hill 21%.
Will both teams score in Cheshunt vs Burgess Hill?
The model gives a 7% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Cheshunt vs Burgess Hill?
Expected goals are 0.02 for Cheshunt and 0.2 for Burgess Hill — about 0.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Cheshunt vs Burgess Hill?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (80%). Double chance for Cheshunt or draw is 82%.