Chichester vs Havant & Waterlooville Prediction & Preview
Non League Premier (England) · Aug 31, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NON LEAGUE PREMIER (ENGLAND)
Chichester vs Havant & Waterlooville
Model pick: Chichester (48%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
16%
Havant & Waterlooville
Expected goals: 0.99 – 0.37
Total goals: 1.4
Over 2.5: 29%
Both teams score: 36%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Chichester | Havant & Waterlooville |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.2 | 0.4 / 2.2 |
*Chichester shown at home, Havant & Waterlooville shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Chichester — last 5
DLWLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Havant & Waterlooville — last 5
LLLWL
On the road: clean sheet 18% of the time; 54% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Chichester (home) | Havant & Waterlooville (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 18% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 54% |
Non League Premier (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.89
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 21%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 57%
BTTS: 54%
Use these Non League Premier (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.99 vs 0.37):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (26%) |
| Double chance — Chichester or draw (1X) | 86% |
| Double chance — Havant & Waterlooville or draw (X2) | 50% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 64% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 39% / 61% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 5% / 95% |
| Chichester clean sheet | 69% |
| Havant & Waterlooville clean sheet | 37% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Chichester is the model's most likely outcome at
48%. Chichester are backed at home, where they average 2.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (71% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Chichester vs Havant & Waterlooville — FAQ
Who will win Chichester vs Havant & Waterlooville?
Our statistical model makes Chichester the most likely result at 48%. Full probabilities: Chichester 48%, draw 36%, Havant & Waterlooville 16%.
Will both teams score in Chichester vs Havant & Waterlooville?
The model gives a 36% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Chichester vs Havant & Waterlooville?
Expected goals are 0.99 for Chichester and 0.37 for Havant & Waterlooville — about 1.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Chichester vs Havant & Waterlooville?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (26%). Double chance for Chichester or draw is 86%.