Chindia Târgovişte vs Voluntari Prediction & Preview
Romania Cup · Sep 01, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
ROMANIA CUP
Chindia Târgovişte vs Voluntari
Model pick: Voluntari (58%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.14 – 8.22
Total goals: 8.4
Over 2.5: 68%
Both teams score: 42%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Chindia Târgovişte | Voluntari |
|---|
| League position | #9 (6 pts) | #14 (4 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.0 / 1.5 | 0.3 / 4.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 50% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 1.0 | 0.8 / 1.8 |
*Chindia Târgovişte shown at home, Voluntari shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Chindia Târgovişte — last 5
WWWDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 25% of the time; 39% of home games go over 2.5.
Voluntari — last 5
WLLWL
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 52% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Chindia Târgovişte (home) | Voluntari (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-1 in 2 (2.0 / 1.5 goals per game) | 0-0-3 in 3 (0.3 / 4.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 25% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% | 52% |
Romania Cup — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.55
Home wins: 39%
Draws: 9%
Away wins: 52%
Over 2.5: 72%
BTTS: 50%
Use these Romania Cup averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.14 vs 8.22):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-8 (22%) |
| Double chance — Chindia Târgovişte or draw (1X) | 0% |
| Double chance — Voluntari or draw (X2) | 100% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 100% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 94% / 6% |
| Chindia Târgovişte clean sheet | 0% |
| Voluntari clean sheet | 87% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Voluntari is the model's most likely outcome at
58%. Despite playing away, Voluntari edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 8.4, this shapes as an open game (68% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Chindia Târgovişte vs Voluntari — FAQ
Who will win Chindia Târgovişte vs Voluntari?
Our statistical model makes Voluntari the most likely result at 58%. Full probabilities: Chindia Târgovişte 23%, draw 19%, Voluntari 58%.
Will both teams score in Chindia Târgovişte vs Voluntari?
The model gives a 42% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Chindia Târgovişte vs Voluntari?
Expected goals are 0.14 for Chindia Târgovişte and 8.22 for Voluntari — about 8.4 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Chindia Târgovişte vs Voluntari?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-8 (22%). Double chance for Chindia Târgovişte or draw is 0%.