Chippenham Town vs Plymouth Parkway Prediction & Preview
Non League Premier (England) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NON LEAGUE PREMIER (ENGLAND)
Chippenham Town vs Plymouth Parkway
Model pick: Plymouth Parkway (37%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.07 – 0.93
Total goals: 1.0
Over 2.5: 21%
Both teams score: 45%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Chippenham Town | Plymouth Parkway |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 1.4 | 2.5 / 1.25 |
*Chippenham Town shown at home, Plymouth Parkway shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Chippenham Town — last 5
LWWLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 25% of the time; 55% of home games go over 2.5.
Plymouth Parkway — last 5
LWWD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Chippenham Town (home) | Plymouth Parkway (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 25% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 0% |
Non League Premier (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.71
Home wins: 48%
Draws: 20%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 48%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Non League Premier (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.07 vs 0.93):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (37%) |
| Double chance — Chippenham Town or draw (1X) | 42% |
| Double chance — Plymouth Parkway or draw (X2) | 97% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 61% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 26% / 74% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 2% / 98% |
| Chippenham Town clean sheet | 39% |
| Plymouth Parkway clean sheet | 93% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Plymouth Parkway is the model's most likely outcome at
37%. Despite playing away, Plymouth Parkway edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (79% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Chippenham Town vs Plymouth Parkway — FAQ
Who will win Chippenham Town vs Plymouth Parkway?
Our statistical model makes Plymouth Parkway the most likely result at 37%. Full probabilities: Chippenham Town 33%, draw 30%, Plymouth Parkway 37%.
Will both teams score in Chippenham Town vs Plymouth Parkway?
The model gives a 45% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Chippenham Town vs Plymouth Parkway?
Expected goals are 0.07 for Chippenham Town and 0.93 for Plymouth Parkway — about 1.0 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Chippenham Town vs Plymouth Parkway?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (37%). Double chance for Chippenham Town or draw is 42%.