Chlumec nad Cidlinou vs Kosmonosy Prediction & Preview
Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) · Aug 23, 2026 · kickoff 08:15 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGA 4 (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Chlumec nad Cidlinou vs Kosmonosy
Model pick: Kosmonosy (72%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 6.55 – 13.27
Total goals: 19.8
Over 2.5: 33%
Both teams score: 37%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Chlumec nad Cidlinou | Kosmonosy |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.25 / 2.25 | 2.0 / 2.5 |
*Chlumec nad Cidlinou shown at home, Kosmonosy shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Chlumec nad Cidlinou — last 5
WLLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Kosmonosy — last 5
LLWD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Chlumec nad Cidlinou (home) | Kosmonosy (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.45
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 70%
BTTS: 69%
Use these Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (6.55 vs 13.27):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 6-8 (9%) |
| Double chance — Chlumec nad Cidlinou or draw (1X) | 33% |
| Double chance — Kosmonosy or draw (X2) | 84% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 83% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Chlumec nad Cidlinou clean sheet | 0% |
| Kosmonosy clean sheet | 0% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Kosmonosy is the model's most likely outcome at
72%. Despite playing away, Kosmonosy edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (67% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Chlumec nad Cidlinou vs Kosmonosy — FAQ
Who will win Chlumec nad Cidlinou vs Kosmonosy?
Our statistical model makes Kosmonosy the most likely result at 72%. Full probabilities: Chlumec nad Cidlinou 16%, draw 13%, Kosmonosy 72%.
Will both teams score in Chlumec nad Cidlinou vs Kosmonosy?
The model gives a 37% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Chlumec nad Cidlinou vs Kosmonosy?
Expected goals are 6.55 for Chlumec nad Cidlinou and 13.27 for Kosmonosy — about 19.8 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Chlumec nad Cidlinou vs Kosmonosy?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 6-8 (9%). Double chance for Chlumec nad Cidlinou or draw is 33%.