Chlumec nad Cidlinou vs Turnov Prediction & Preview
Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 08:15 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGA 4 (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Chlumec nad Cidlinou vs Turnov
Model pick: Chlumec nad Cidlinou (54%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.72 – 0.88
Total goals: 2.6
Over 2.5: 50%
Both teams score: 51%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Chlumec nad Cidlinou | Turnov |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 2.2 | 2.2 / 1.8 |
*Chlumec nad Cidlinou shown at home, Turnov shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Chlumec nad Cidlinou — last 5
WLLDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Turnov — last 5
WDLWL
On the road: clean sheet 20% of the time; 80% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Chlumec nad Cidlinou (home) | Turnov (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 80% |
Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.72
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 20%
Away wins: 37%
Over 2.5: 75%
BTTS: 67%
Use these Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.72 vs 0.88):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (13%) |
| Double chance — Chlumec nad Cidlinou or draw (1X) | 81% |
| Double chance — Turnov or draw (X2) | 43% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 73% / 27% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 26% / 74% |
| Chlumec nad Cidlinou clean sheet | 41% |
| Turnov clean sheet | 18% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Chlumec nad Cidlinou is the model's most likely outcome at
54%. Chlumec nad Cidlinou are backed at home, where they average 0.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (50% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Chlumec nad Cidlinou vs Turnov — FAQ
Who will win Chlumec nad Cidlinou vs Turnov?
Our statistical model makes Chlumec nad Cidlinou the most likely result at 54%. Full probabilities: Chlumec nad Cidlinou 54%, draw 25%, Turnov 21%.
Will both teams score in Chlumec nad Cidlinou vs Turnov?
The model gives a 51% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Chlumec nad Cidlinou vs Turnov?
Expected goals are 1.72 for Chlumec nad Cidlinou and 0.88 for Turnov — about 2.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Chlumec nad Cidlinou vs Turnov?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (13%). Double chance for Chlumec nad Cidlinou or draw is 81%.