Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Resovia Rzeszów Prediction & Preview
II Liga (Poland) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
II LIGA (POLAND)
Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Resovia Rzeszów
Model pick: Chojniczanka Chojnice (50%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.73 – 1.06
Total goals: 2.8
Over 2.5: 52%
Both teams score: 54%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Chojniczanka Chojnice | Resovia Rzeszów |
|---|
| League position | #12 (7 pts) | #17 (2 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 1.7 | 0.3 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 33% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 1.6 | 0.8 / 1.4 |
*Chojniczanka Chojnice shown at home, Resovia Rzeszów shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Chojniczanka Chojnice — last 5
LLWWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 37% of the time; 54% of home games go over 2.5.
Resovia Rzeszów — last 5
WLDDL
On the road: clean sheet 24% of the time; 56% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Chojniczanka Chojnice (home) | Resovia Rzeszów (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-2 in 3 (1.0 / 1.7 goals per game) | 0-1-2 in 3 (0.3 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 37% | 24% |
| Both teams scored | 54% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 56% |
II Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.75
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 54%
BTTS: 54%
Use these II Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.73 vs 1.06):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Chojniczanka Chojnice or draw (1X) | 77% |
| Double chance — Resovia Rzeszów or draw (X2) | 47% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 77% / 23% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 31% / 69% |
| Chojniczanka Chojnice clean sheet | 35% |
| Resovia Rzeszów clean sheet | 18% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Chojniczanka Chojnice is the model's most likely outcome at
50%. Chojniczanka Chojnice are backed at home, where they average 1.8 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (48% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
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❓ Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Resovia Rzeszów — FAQ
Who will win Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Resovia Rzeszów?
Our statistical model makes Chojniczanka Chojnice the most likely result at 50%. Full probabilities: Chojniczanka Chojnice 50%, draw 25%, Resovia Rzeszów 25%.
Will both teams score in Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Resovia Rzeszów?
The model gives a 54% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Resovia Rzeszów?
Expected goals are 1.73 for Chojniczanka Chojnice and 1.06 for Resovia Rzeszów — about 2.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Resovia Rzeszów?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for Chojniczanka Chojnice or draw is 77%.