Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Stal Stalowa Wola Prediction & Preview
II Liga (Poland) · Aug 21, 2026 · kickoff 18:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
II LIGA (POLAND)
Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Stal Stalowa Wola
Model pick: Chojniczanka Chojnice (41%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.44 – 1.22
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 51%
Both teams score: 54%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Chojniczanka Chojnice | Stal Stalowa Wola |
|---|
| League position | #15 (3 pts) | #14 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.5 / 2.5 | 1.5 / 1.5 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 50% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.6 / 2.2 | 1.6 / 1.8 |
*Chojniczanka Chojnice shown at home, Stal Stalowa Wola shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Chojniczanka Chojnice — last 5
LLLLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 36% of the time; 55% of home games go over 2.5.
Stal Stalowa Wola — last 5
WWLLL
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 43% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Chojniczanka Chojnice (home) | Stal Stalowa Wola (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-0-2 in 2 (0.5 / 2.5 goals per game) | 1-0-1 in 2 (1.5 / 1.5 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 36% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 43% |
II Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.75
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 54%
BTTS: 54%
Use these II Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.44 vs 1.22):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Chojniczanka Chojnice or draw (1X) | 68% |
| Double chance — Stal Stalowa Wola or draw (X2) | 58% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 74% / 26% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 28% / 72% |
| Chojniczanka Chojnice clean sheet | 30% |
| Stal Stalowa Wola clean sheet | 24% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Chojniczanka Chojnice is the model's most likely outcome at
41%. Chojniczanka Chojnice are backed at home, where they average 1.8 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (49% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
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❓ Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Stal Stalowa Wola — FAQ
Who will win Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Stal Stalowa Wola?
Our statistical model makes Chojniczanka Chojnice the most likely result at 41%. Full probabilities: Chojniczanka Chojnice 41%, draw 27%, Stal Stalowa Wola 32%.
Will both teams score in Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Stal Stalowa Wola?
The model gives a 54% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Stal Stalowa Wola?
Expected goals are 1.44 for Chojniczanka Chojnice and 1.22 for Stal Stalowa Wola — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Stal Stalowa Wola?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Chojniczanka Chojnice or draw is 68%.