Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Znicz Pruszków Prediction & Preview
II Liga (Poland) · Aug 09, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
II LIGA (POLAND)
Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Znicz Pruszków
Model pick: Chojniczanka Chojnice (48%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.53 – 0.95
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 48%
Both teams score: 51%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Chojniczanka Chojnice | Znicz Pruszków |
|---|
| League position | #17 (0 pts) | #2 (6 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.0 / 1.0 | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 1.6 | 2.0 / 1.2 |
*Chojniczanka Chojnice shown at home, Znicz Pruszków shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Chojniczanka Chojnice — last 5
WWLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 36% of the time; 55% of home games go over 2.5.
Znicz Pruszków — last 5
WLDWW
On the road: clean sheet 20% of the time; 53% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Chojniczanka Chojnice (home) | Znicz Pruszków (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-0-1 in 1 (0.0 / 1.0 goals per game) | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 36% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 53% |
II Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.75
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 54%
BTTS: 54%
Use these II Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.53 vs 0.95):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (13%) |
| Double chance — Chojniczanka Chojnice or draw (1X) | 77% |
| Double chance — Znicz Pruszków or draw (X2) | 49% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 71% / 29% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 24% / 76% |
| Chojniczanka Chojnice clean sheet | 39% |
| Znicz Pruszków clean sheet | 22% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Chojniczanka Chojnice is the model's most likely outcome at
48%. Chojniczanka Chojnice are backed at home, where they average 1.8 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (52% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
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❓ Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Znicz Pruszków — FAQ
Who will win Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Znicz Pruszków?
Our statistical model makes Chojniczanka Chojnice the most likely result at 48%. Full probabilities: Chojniczanka Chojnice 48%, draw 27%, Znicz Pruszków 25%.
Will both teams score in Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Znicz Pruszków?
The model gives a 51% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Znicz Pruszków?
Expected goals are 1.53 for Chojniczanka Chojnice and 0.95 for Znicz Pruszków — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Znicz Pruszków?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (13%). Double chance for Chojniczanka Chojnice or draw is 77%.