Chomutov vs Usti nad Labem B Prediction & Preview
Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) · Aug 21, 2026 · kickoff 16:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGA 4 (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Chomutov vs Usti nad Labem B
Model pick: Chomutov (100%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 7.46 – 0.0
Total goals: 7.5
Over 2.5: 73%
Both teams score: 6%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Chomutov | Usti nad Labem B |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 1.8 | 0.4 / 3.0 |
*Chomutov shown at home, Usti nad Labem B shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Chomutov — last 5
LLLWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Usti nad Labem B — last 5
LLLLD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 75% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Chomutov (home) | Usti nad Labem B (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 75% |
Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.02
Home wins: 35%
Draws: 34%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 62%
Use these Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (7.46 vs 0.0):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 7-0 (22%) |
| Double chance — Chomutov or draw (1X) | 100% |
| Double chance — Usti nad Labem B or draw (X2) | 0% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 100% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 99% / 1% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 91% / 9% |
| Chomutov clean sheet | 100% |
| Usti nad Labem B clean sheet | 0% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Chomutov is the model's most likely outcome at
100%. Chomutov are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. With expected goals of 7.5, this shapes as an open game (73% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Chomutov vs Usti nad Labem B — FAQ
Who will win Chomutov vs Usti nad Labem B?
Our statistical model makes Chomutov the most likely result at 100%. Full probabilities: Chomutov 100%, draw 0%, Usti nad Labem B 0%.
Will both teams score in Chomutov vs Usti nad Labem B?
The model gives a 6% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Chomutov vs Usti nad Labem B?
Expected goals are 7.46 for Chomutov and 0.0 for Usti nad Labem B — about 7.5 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Chomutov vs Usti nad Labem B?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 7-0 (22%). Double chance for Chomutov or draw is 100%.