Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Dalian Yingbo Prediction & Preview
Super League (China) · Aug 23, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LEAGUE (CHINA)
Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Dalian Yingbo
Model pick: Dalian Yingbo (38%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
33%
Chongqing Tonglianglong
Expected goals: 0.83 – 1.14
Total goals: 2.0
Over 2.5: 40%
Both teams score: 53%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Chongqing Tonglianglong | Dalian Yingbo |
|---|
| League position | #7 (30 pts) | #6 (32 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.5 / 1.2 | 1.2 / 2.3 |
| Win rate this season* | 36% | 18% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 1.2 | 1.2 / 1.6 |
*Chongqing Tonglianglong shown at home, Dalian Yingbo shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Chongqing Tonglianglong — last 5
WLLLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 33% of home games go over 2.5.
Dalian Yingbo — last 5
DLDWL
On the road: clean sheet 5% of the time; 47% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Chongqing Tonglianglong (home) | Dalian Yingbo (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 4-5-2 in 11 (1.5 / 1.2 goals per game) | 2-2-7 in 11 (1.2 / 2.3 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 5% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 68% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 47% |
| Top scorer | – | Cephas Malele (8) |
Super League (China) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.95
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 57%
Use these Super League (China) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.83 vs 1.14):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (16%) |
| Double chance — Chongqing Tonglianglong or draw (1X) | 57% |
| Double chance — Dalian Yingbo or draw (X2) | 73% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 69% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 59% / 41% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 14% / 86% |
| Chongqing Tonglianglong clean sheet | 32% |
| Dalian Yingbo clean sheet | 44% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Dalian Yingbo is the model's most likely outcome at
38%. Despite playing away, Dalian Yingbo edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (60% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Dalian Yingbo — FAQ
Who will win Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Dalian Yingbo?
Our statistical model makes Dalian Yingbo the most likely result at 38%. Full probabilities: Chongqing Tonglianglong 33%, draw 29%, Dalian Yingbo 38%.
Will both teams score in Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Dalian Yingbo?
The model gives a 53% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Dalian Yingbo?
Expected goals are 0.83 for Chongqing Tonglianglong and 1.14 for Dalian Yingbo — about 2.0 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Dalian Yingbo?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (16%). Double chance for Chongqing Tonglianglong or draw is 57%.