Chotebor vs FS Trebic Prediction & Preview
Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) · Aug 28, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGA 4 (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Chotebor vs FS Trebic
Model pick: Draw (47%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.34 – 0.53
Total goals: 0.9
Over 2.5: 18%
Both teams score: 30%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Chotebor | FS Trebic |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 3.2 | 1.6 / 2.8 |
*Chotebor shown at home, FS Trebic shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Chotebor — last 5
WLLDD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
FS Trebic — last 5
LLDWL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Chotebor (home) | FS Trebic (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 100% |
Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.72
Home wins: 32%
Draws: 42%
Away wins: 26%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.34 vs 0.53):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (42%) |
| Double chance — Chotebor or draw (1X) | 68% |
| Double chance — FS Trebic or draw (X2) | 82% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 50% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 22% / 78% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 1% / 99% |
| Chotebor clean sheet | 59% |
| FS Trebic clean sheet | 71% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
47%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (82% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Chotebor vs FS Trebic — FAQ
Who will win Chotebor vs FS Trebic?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 47%. Full probabilities: Chotebor 20%, draw 47%, FS Trebic 32%.
Will both teams score in Chotebor vs FS Trebic?
The model gives a 30% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Chotebor vs FS Trebic?
Expected goals are 0.34 for Chotebor and 0.53 for FS Trebic — about 0.9 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Chotebor vs FS Trebic?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (42%). Double chance for Chotebor or draw is 68%.