Chrudim vs Banik Most-Sous Prediction & Preview
Liga 3 (Czech_Republic) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 08:15 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGA 3 (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Chrudim vs Banik Most-Sous
Model pick: Draw (57%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.43 – 0.12
Total goals: 0.6
Over 2.5: 10%
Both teams score: 20%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Chrudim | Banik Most-Sous |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 2.4 | 1.8 / 1.0 |
*Chrudim shown at home, Banik Most-Sous shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Chrudim — last 5
LLLWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
Banik Most-Sous — last 5
LDWWL
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Chrudim (home) | Banik Most-Sous (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 50% |
Liga 3 (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.04
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 58%
BTTS: 47%
Use these Liga 3 (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.43 vs 0.12):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (58%) |
| Double chance — Chrudim or draw (1X) | 92% |
| Double chance — Banik Most-Sous or draw (X2) | 68% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 39% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 11% / 89% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 0% / 100% |
| Chrudim clean sheet | 89% |
| Banik Most-Sous clean sheet | 65% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
57%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (90% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Chrudim vs Banik Most-Sous — FAQ
Who will win Chrudim vs Banik Most-Sous?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 57%. Full probabilities: Chrudim 33%, draw 57%, Banik Most-Sous 10%.
Will both teams score in Chrudim vs Banik Most-Sous?
The model gives a 20% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Chrudim vs Banik Most-Sous?
Expected goals are 0.43 for Chrudim and 0.12 for Banik Most-Sous — about 0.6 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Chrudim vs Banik Most-Sous?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (58%). Double chance for Chrudim or draw is 92%.