Chungnam Asan vs Yongin City Prediction & Preview
K League 2 (South Korea) · Aug 23, 2026 · kickoff 10:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
K LEAGUE 2 (SOUTH KOREA)
Chungnam Asan vs Yongin City
Model pick: Chungnam Asan (45%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.44 – 1.08
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 49%
Both teams score: 53%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Chungnam Asan | Yongin City |
|---|
| League position | #8 (28 pts) | #12 (22 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.7 / 1.3 | 1.2 / 1.4 |
| Win rate this season* | 45% | 22% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.4 | 1.0 / 1.6 |
*Chungnam Asan shown at home, Yongin City shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Chungnam Asan — last 5
LWWDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 41% of home games go over 2.5.
Yongin City — last 5
LLDDW
On the road: clean sheet 12% of the time; 41% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Chungnam Asan (home) | Yongin City (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 5-4-2 in 11 (1.7 / 1.3 goals per game) | 2-5-2 in 9 (1.2 / 1.4 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 12% |
| Both teams scored | 47% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | 41% |
K League 2 (South Korea) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.51
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 46%
BTTS: 51%
Use these K League 2 (South Korea) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.44 vs 1.08):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Chungnam Asan or draw (1X) | 72% |
| Double chance — Yongin City or draw (X2) | 55% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 72% / 28% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 25% / 75% |
| Chungnam Asan clean sheet | 34% |
| Yongin City clean sheet | 24% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Chungnam Asan is the model's most likely outcome at
45%. Chungnam Asan are backed at home, where they average 1.3 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (51% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Chungnam Asan vs Yongin City — FAQ
Who will win Chungnam Asan vs Yongin City?
Our statistical model makes Chungnam Asan the most likely result at 45%. Full probabilities: Chungnam Asan 45%, draw 27%, Yongin City 27%.
Will both teams score in Chungnam Asan vs Yongin City?
The model gives a 53% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Chungnam Asan vs Yongin City?
Expected goals are 1.44 for Chungnam Asan and 1.08 for Yongin City — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Chungnam Asan vs Yongin City?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Chungnam Asan or draw is 72%.