Città di Campobasso vs Gubbio Prediction & Preview
Serie C - Group A (Italy) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SERIE C - GROUP A (ITALY)
Città di Campobasso vs Gubbio
Model pick: Città di Campobasso (40%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.17 – 0.92
Total goals: 2.1
Over 2.5: 42%
Both teams score: 48%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Città di Campobasso | Gubbio |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 0.8 | 1.0 / 1.4 |
*Città di Campobasso shown at home, Gubbio shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Città di Campobasso — last 5
LWWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 31% of the time; 43% of home games go over 2.5.
Gubbio — last 5
LLWWL
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 44% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Città di Campobasso (home) | Gubbio (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 31% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 51% | 51% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 44% |
Serie C - Group A (Italy) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.33
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 41%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Serie C - Group A (Italy) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.17 vs 0.92):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (14%) |
| Double chance — Città di Campobasso or draw (1X) | 71% |
| Double chance — Gubbio or draw (X2) | 58% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 70% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 62% / 38% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 16% / 84% |
| Città di Campobasso clean sheet | 40% |
| Gubbio clean sheet | 31% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Città di Campobasso is the model's most likely outcome at
40%. Città di Campobasso are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (58% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Città di Campobasso vs Gubbio — FAQ
Who will win Città di Campobasso vs Gubbio?
Our statistical model makes Città di Campobasso the most likely result at 40%. Full probabilities: Città di Campobasso 40%, draw 30%, Gubbio 29%.
Will both teams score in Città di Campobasso vs Gubbio?
The model gives a 48% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Città di Campobasso vs Gubbio?
Expected goals are 1.17 for Città di Campobasso and 0.92 for Gubbio — about 2.1 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Città di Campobasso vs Gubbio?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (14%). Double chance for Città di Campobasso or draw is 71%.