Clarholz vs TuS Hordel Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 30, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Clarholz vs TuS Hordel
Model pick: TuS Hordel (99%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.22 – 12.11
Total goals: 13.3
Over 2.5: 41%
Both teams score: 39%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Clarholz | TuS Hordel |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 2.67 | 1.25 / 2.0 |
*Clarholz shown at home, TuS Hordel shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Clarholz — last 5
LWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
TuS Hordel — last 5
LDLW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Clarholz (home) | TuS Hordel (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 50% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.59
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 67%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.22 vs 12.11):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-8 (15%) |
| Double chance — Clarholz or draw (1X) | 0% |
| Double chance — TuS Hordel or draw (X2) | 100% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 100% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 99% / 1% |
| Clarholz clean sheet | 0% |
| TuS Hordel clean sheet | 30% |
🎯 Our Verdict
TuS Hordel is the model's most likely outcome at
99%. Despite playing away, TuS Hordel edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (59% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Clarholz vs TuS Hordel — FAQ
Who will win Clarholz vs TuS Hordel?
Our statistical model makes TuS Hordel the most likely result at 99%. Full probabilities: Clarholz 0%, draw 0%, TuS Hordel 99%.
Will both teams score in Clarholz vs TuS Hordel?
The model gives a 39% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Clarholz vs TuS Hordel?
Expected goals are 1.22 for Clarholz and 12.11 for TuS Hordel — about 13.3 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Clarholz vs TuS Hordel?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-8 (15%). Double chance for Clarholz or draw is 0%.