Claypole vs Fénix Prediction & Preview
Primera C Metro (Argentina) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 20:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PRIMERA C METRO (ARGENTINA)
Claypole vs Fénix
Model pick: Fénix (44%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.34 – 1.84
Total goals: 2.2
Over 2.5: 43%
Both teams score: 42%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Claypole | Fénix |
|---|
| League position | #14 (22 pts) | #11 (25 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 1.5 | 0.5 / 1.1 |
| Win rate this season* | 20% | 18% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.6 / 1.6 | 1.4 / 0.8 |
*Claypole shown at home, Fénix shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Claypole — last 5
LDDLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 33% of home games go over 2.5.
Fénix — last 5
WDDWD
On the road: clean sheet 32% of the time; 32% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Claypole (home) | Fénix (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 2-4-4 in 10 (1.0 / 1.5 goals per game) | 2-3-6 in 11 (0.5 / 1.1 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 32% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 32% |
Primera C Metro (Argentina) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 1.85
Home wins: 34%
Draws: 34%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 28%
BTTS: 35%
Use these Primera C Metro (Argentina) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.34 vs 1.84):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (21%) |
| Double chance — Claypole or draw (1X) | 26% |
| Double chance — Fénix or draw (X2) | 94% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 80% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 64% / 36% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 18% / 82% |
| Claypole clean sheet | 16% |
| Fénix clean sheet | 71% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Fénix is the model's most likely outcome at
44%. Despite playing away, Fénix edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (57% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Claypole vs Fénix — FAQ
Who will win Claypole vs Fénix?
Our statistical model makes Fénix the most likely result at 44%. Full probabilities: Claypole 28%, draw 28%, Fénix 44%.
Will both teams score in Claypole vs Fénix?
The model gives a 42% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Claypole vs Fénix?
Expected goals are 0.34 for Claypole and 1.84 for Fénix — about 2.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Claypole vs Fénix?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (21%). Double chance for Claypole or draw is 26%.