Cleethorpes vs Curzon Ashton Prediction & Preview
Non League Premier (England) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NON LEAGUE PREMIER (ENGLAND)
Cleethorpes vs Curzon Ashton
Model pick: Cleethorpes (92%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 3.93 – 0.33
Total goals: 4.3
Over 2.5: 69%
Both teams score: 41%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Cleethorpes | Curzon Ashton |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.6 / 0.4 | 1.4 / 1.8 |
*Cleethorpes shown at home, Curzon Ashton shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Cleethorpes — last 5
WWDWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 40% of the time; 40% of home games go over 2.5.
Curzon Ashton — last 5
WLLDL
On the road: clean sheet 31% of the time; 53% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Cleethorpes (home) | Curzon Ashton (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 40% | 31% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 51% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 53% |
Non League Premier (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.88
Home wins: 47%
Draws: 20%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Non League Premier (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (3.93 vs 0.33):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 3-0 (15%) |
| Double chance — Cleethorpes or draw (1X) | 99% |
| Double chance — Curzon Ashton or draw (X2) | 5% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 96% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 92% / 8% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 61% / 39% |
| Cleethorpes clean sheet | 72% |
| Curzon Ashton clean sheet | 2% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Cleethorpes is the model's most likely outcome at
92%. Cleethorpes are backed at home, where they average 1.2 goals a game. With expected goals of 4.3, this shapes as an open game (69% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Cleethorpes vs Curzon Ashton — FAQ
Who will win Cleethorpes vs Curzon Ashton?
Our statistical model makes Cleethorpes the most likely result at 92%. Full probabilities: Cleethorpes 92%, draw 6%, Curzon Ashton 2%.
Will both teams score in Cleethorpes vs Curzon Ashton?
The model gives a 41% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Cleethorpes vs Curzon Ashton?
Expected goals are 3.93 for Cleethorpes and 0.33 for Curzon Ashton — about 4.3 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Cleethorpes vs Curzon Ashton?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 3-0 (15%). Double chance for Cleethorpes or draw is 99%.