Clermont vs Dijon Prediction & Preview
Ligue 2 (France) · Aug 21, 2026 · kickoff 18:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGUE 2 (FRANCE)
Clermont vs Dijon
Model pick: Clermont (40%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.15 – 0.93
Total goals: 2.1
Over 2.5: 42%
Both teams score: 48%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Clermont | Dijon |
|---|
| League position | #16 (1 pts) | #12 (1 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.0 / 0.0 | 1.0 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.6 / 1.2 | 1.6 / 1.0 |
*Clermont shown at home, Dijon shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Clermont — last 5
DLDDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 29% of the time; 41% of home games go over 2.5.
Dijon — last 5
WWDDL
On the road: clean sheet 14% of the time; 57% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Clermont (home) | Dijon (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-1-0 in 1 (0.0 / 0.0 goals per game) | 0-1-0 in 1 (1.0 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 29% | 14% |
| Both teams scored | 51% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | 57% |
Ligue 2 (France) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.43
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 44%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Ligue 2 (France) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.15 vs 0.93):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (14%) |
| Double chance — Clermont or draw (1X) | 71% |
| Double chance — Dijon or draw (X2) | 59% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 70% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 62% / 38% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 16% / 84% |
| Clermont clean sheet | 39% |
| Dijon clean sheet | 32% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Clermont is the model's most likely outcome at
40%. Clermont are backed at home, where they average 1.2 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (58% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Clermont vs Dijon — FAQ
Who will win Clermont vs Dijon?
Our statistical model makes Clermont the most likely result at 40%. Full probabilities: Clermont 40%, draw 30%, Dijon 30%.
Will both teams score in Clermont vs Dijon?
The model gives a 48% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Clermont vs Dijon?
Expected goals are 1.15 for Clermont and 0.93 for Dijon — about 2.1 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Clermont vs Dijon?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (14%). Double chance for Clermont or draw is 71%.