Club Africain vs Hammam-Sousse Prediction & Preview
Ligue 1 (Tunisia) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGUE 1 (TUNISIA)
Club Africain vs Hammam-Sousse
Model pick: Club Africain (62%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.56 – 0.41
Total goals: 2.0
Over 2.5: 40%
Both teams score: 40%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Club Africain | Hammam-Sousse |
|---|
| League position | #2 (3 pts) | #7 (1 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 1.0 |
*Club Africain shown at home, Hammam-Sousse shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Club Africain — last 5
WWDWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 52% of the time; 36% of home games go over 2.5.
Hammam-Sousse — last 5
LLLWD
On the road: clean sheet 27% of the time; 41% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Club Africain (home) | Hammam-Sousse (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 52% | 27% |
| Both teams scored | 37% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36% | 41% |
Ligue 1 (Tunisia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 1.98
Home wins: 47%
Draws: 29%
Away wins: 24%
Over 2.5: 33%
BTTS: 36%
Use these Ligue 1 (Tunisia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.56 vs 0.41):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (22%) |
| Double chance — Club Africain or draw (1X) | 91% |
| Double chance — Hammam-Sousse or draw (X2) | 34% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 59% / 41% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 14% / 86% |
| Club Africain clean sheet | 66% |
| Hammam-Sousse clean sheet | 21% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Club Africain is the model's most likely outcome at
62%. Club Africain are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (60% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Club Africain vs Hammam-Sousse — FAQ
Who will win Club Africain vs Hammam-Sousse?
Our statistical model makes Club Africain the most likely result at 62%. Full probabilities: Club Africain 62%, draw 26%, Hammam-Sousse 12%.
Will both teams score in Club Africain vs Hammam-Sousse?
The model gives a 40% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Club Africain vs Hammam-Sousse?
Expected goals are 1.56 for Club Africain and 0.41 for Hammam-Sousse — about 2.0 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Club Africain vs Hammam-Sousse?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (22%). Double chance for Club Africain or draw is 91%.