Club Guaraní vs Recoleta Prediction & Preview
Primera Division (Paraguay) · Sep 07, 2026 · kickoff 19:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PRIMERA DIVISION (PARAGUAY)
Club Guaraní vs Recoleta
Model pick: Club Guaraní (46%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.73 – 1.29
Total goals: 3.0
Over 2.5: 55%
Both teams score: 57%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Club Guaraní | Recoleta |
|---|
| League position | #3 (178 pts) | #7 (87 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 1.2 | 1.0 / 2.2 |
*Club Guaraní shown at home, Recoleta shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Club Guaraní — last 5
DLLDD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 28% of the time; 56% of home games go over 2.5.
Recoleta — last 5
LLLWL
On the road: clean sheet 22% of the time; 59% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Club Guaraní (home) | Recoleta (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 28% | 22% |
| Both teams scored | 58% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 59% |
| Top scorer | – | Allan Wlk (9) |
Primera Division (Paraguay) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.52
Home wins: 39%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 47%
BTTS: 50%
Use these Primera Division (Paraguay) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.73 vs 1.29):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Club Guaraní or draw (1X) | 71% |
| Double chance — Recoleta or draw (X2) | 52% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 80% / 20% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 36% / 64% |
| Club Guaraní clean sheet | 28% |
| Recoleta clean sheet | 18% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Club Guaraní is the model's most likely outcome at
46%. Club Guaraní are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.0, this shapes as an open game (55% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Club Guaraní vs Recoleta — FAQ
Who will win Club Guaraní vs Recoleta?
Our statistical model makes Club Guaraní the most likely result at 46%. Full probabilities: Club Guaraní 46%, draw 25%, Recoleta 30%.
Will both teams score in Club Guaraní vs Recoleta?
The model gives a 57% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Club Guaraní vs Recoleta?
Expected goals are 1.73 for Club Guaraní and 1.29 for Recoleta — about 3.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Club Guaraní vs Recoleta?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for Club Guaraní or draw is 71%.