Club Guaraní vs Rubio Nu Prediction & Preview
Primera Division (Paraguay) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 19:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PRIMERA DIVISION (PARAGUAY)
Club Guaraní vs Rubio Nu
Model pick: Club Guaraní (80%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.66 – 0.41
Total goals: 3.1
Over 2.5: 56%
Both teams score: 43%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Club Guaraní | Rubio Nu |
|---|
| League position | #3 (178 pts) | #11 (23 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 0.8 | 0.5 / 2.5 |
*Club Guaraní shown at home, Rubio Nu shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Club Guaraní — last 5
WLWWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 28% of the time; 56% of home games go over 2.5.
Rubio Nu — last 5
LDLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Club Guaraní (home) | Rubio Nu (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 28% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 58% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 50% |
| Top scorer | – | Estiven Perez (5) |
Primera Division (Paraguay) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.52
Home wins: 39%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 46%
BTTS: 50%
Use these Primera Division (Paraguay) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.66 vs 0.41):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (16%) |
| Double chance — Club Guaraní or draw (1X) | 96% |
| Double chance — Rubio Nu or draw (X2) | 15% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 89% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 81% / 19% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 37% / 63% |
| Club Guaraní clean sheet | 66% |
| Rubio Nu clean sheet | 7% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Club Guaraní is the model's most likely outcome at
80%. Club Guaraní are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.1, this shapes as an open game (56% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Club Guaraní vs Rubio Nu — FAQ
Who will win Club Guaraní vs Rubio Nu?
Our statistical model makes Club Guaraní the most likely result at 80%. Full probabilities: Club Guaraní 80%, draw 14%, Rubio Nu 6%.
Will both teams score in Club Guaraní vs Rubio Nu?
The model gives a 43% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Club Guaraní vs Rubio Nu?
Expected goals are 2.66 for Club Guaraní and 0.41 for Rubio Nu — about 3.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Club Guaraní vs Rubio Nu?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (16%). Double chance for Club Guaraní or draw is 96%.