Coal India vs Mohammedan Prediction & Preview
Calcutta Premier Division (India) · Aug 28, 2026 · kickoff 09:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
CALCUTTA PREMIER DIVISION (INDIA)
Coal India vs Mohammedan
Model pick: Mohammedan (41%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.16 – 1.4
Total goals: 2.6
Over 2.5: 49%
Both teams score: 53%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Coal India | Mohammedan |
|---|
| League position | n/a | #14 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | 0.6 / 2.4 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.0 | 1.8 / 0.8 |
*Coal India shown at home, Mohammedan shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Coal India — last 5
DLDWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 17% of the time; 33% of home games go over 2.5.
Mohammedan — last 5
WWDDW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Coal India (home) | Mohammedan (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | 0-3-7 in 10 (0.6 / 2.4 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 17% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 67% |
| Top scorer | – | Adison Singh Thokchom (2) |
Calcutta Premier Division (India) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.87
Home wins: 36%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 53%
BTTS: 47%
Use these Calcutta Premier Division (India) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.16 vs 1.4):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Coal India or draw (1X) | 58% |
| Double chance — Mohammedan or draw (X2) | 69% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 72% / 28% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 26% / 74% |
| Coal India clean sheet | 25% |
| Mohammedan clean sheet | 31% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Mohammedan is the model's most likely outcome at
41%. Despite playing away, Mohammedan edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (51% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Coal India vs Mohammedan — FAQ
Who will win Coal India vs Mohammedan?
Our statistical model makes Mohammedan the most likely result at 41%. Full probabilities: Coal India 32%, draw 27%, Mohammedan 41%.
Will both teams score in Coal India vs Mohammedan?
The model gives a 53% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Coal India vs Mohammedan?
Expected goals are 1.16 for Coal India and 1.4 for Mohammedan — about 2.6 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Coal India vs Mohammedan?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Coal India or draw is 58%.