Coal India vs Police AC Prediction & Preview
Calcutta Premier Division (India) · Aug 21, 2026 · kickoff 09:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
CALCUTTA PREMIER DIVISION (INDIA)
Coal India vs Police AC
Model pick: Police AC (45%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.77 – 1.24
Total goals: 2.0
Over 2.5: 40%
Both teams score: 46%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Coal India | Police AC |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 1.2 | 1.0 / 0.2 |
*Coal India shown at home, Police AC shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Coal India — last 5
DDLDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 20% of the time; 40% of home games go over 2.5.
Police AC — last 5
WDWDW
On the road: clean sheet 67% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Coal India (home) | Police AC (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 20% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 67% |
Calcutta Premier Division (India) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.73
Home wins: 35%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 49%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Calcutta Premier Division (India) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.77 vs 1.24):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (17%) |
| Double chance — Coal India or draw (1X) | 53% |
| Double chance — Police AC or draw (X2) | 77% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 70% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 60% / 40% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 14% / 86% |
| Coal India clean sheet | 29% |
| Police AC clean sheet | 46% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Police AC is the model's most likely outcome at
45%. Despite playing away, Police AC edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (60% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Coal India vs Police AC — FAQ
Who will win Coal India vs Police AC?
Our statistical model makes Police AC the most likely result at 45%. Full probabilities: Coal India 24%, draw 30%, Police AC 45%.
Will both teams score in Coal India vs Police AC?
The model gives a 46% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Coal India vs Police AC?
Expected goals are 0.77 for Coal India and 1.24 for Police AC — about 2.0 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Coal India vs Police AC?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (17%). Double chance for Coal India or draw is 53%.