Cobresal vs Palestino Prediction & Preview
Liga De Primera (Chile) · Aug 28, 2026 · kickoff 22:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGA DE PRIMERA (CHILE)
Cobresal vs Palestino
Model pick: Palestino (41%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.41 – 1.43
Total goals: 2.8
Over 2.5: 53%
Both teams score: 56%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Cobresal | Palestino |
|---|
| League position | #15 (17 pts) | #4 (30 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.4 / 1.6 | 1.0 / 2.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 44% | 33% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.6 | 2.2 / 1.6 |
*Cobresal shown at home, Palestino shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Cobresal — last 5
LDWLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 23% of the time; 57% of home games go over 2.5.
Palestino — last 5
WLWLW
On the road: clean sheet 22% of the time; 52% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Cobresal (home) | Palestino (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 4-0-5 in 9 (1.4 / 1.6 goals per game) | 3-0-6 in 9 (1.0 / 2.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 23% | 22% |
| Both teams scored | 65% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 52% |
| Top scorer | Steffan Pino (6) | Nelson Da Silva (7) |
Liga De Primera (Chile) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.65
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 54%
Use these Liga De Primera (Chile) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.41 vs 1.43):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Cobresal or draw (1X) | 62% |
| Double chance — Palestino or draw (X2) | 63% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 78% / 22% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 32% / 68% |
| Cobresal clean sheet | 24% |
| Palestino clean sheet | 24% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Palestino is the model's most likely outcome at
41%. Despite playing away, Palestino edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (47% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Cobresal vs Palestino — FAQ
Who will win Cobresal vs Palestino?
Our statistical model makes Palestino the most likely result at 41%. Full probabilities: Cobresal 33%, draw 27%, Palestino 41%.
Will both teams score in Cobresal vs Palestino?
The model gives a 56% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Cobresal vs Palestino?
Expected goals are 1.41 for Cobresal and 1.43 for Palestino — about 2.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Cobresal vs Palestino?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Cobresal or draw is 62%.